Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction, 29 October 2026

Fiorentina

Thursday, 29 October 2026

22Half time 0 : 1Serie A

Atalanta

Njie 53′
Joao Mario 61′

Ketelaere 41′
Zalewski 74′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

38.7%Fiorentina

27.1%Draw

34.2%Atalanta

Double chance

Fiorentina or draw66%

Either team wins73%

Atalanta or draw61%

1.3Fiorentina2.8expected goals1.4Atalanta

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.594%6%

1.578%22%

2.555%45%

3.533%67%

4.518%82%

Both teams to score

Yes58%No42%

GG2+

No83%Yes17%

Team total goals

OverFiorentinaAtalanta

0.576%77%

1.540%43%

2.517%20%

Clean sheet

Fiorentina23%Atalanta24%

Win to nil

Fiorentina19%Atalanta17%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw27%

WinsFiorentinaAtalanta

by 121%18%

by 210%9%

by 3+7%7%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals22%2-3 goals45%4-5 goals25%6+ goals9%

Match preview · Serie A

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: preview and prediction

29 Oct 2026 · 19:45Stadio Artemio FranchiFederico La Penna

Fiorentina welcome Atalanta to Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence on Thursday 29 October, with kick-off at 19:45. It's matchday 9 in the Serie A. Fiorentina go into it 16th in the table after ten games, with Atalanta 13th. Last time out Fiorentina were beaten 2-1 at Inter Milan, and Atalanta drew 4-4 at home with Frosinone. Atalanta are still waiting for a win on the road, with none in their last three away games.

The forecast

39%Fiorentina27%Draw34%Atalanta

Expected goals1.3-1.4Over 2.5 goals55%Both teams score58%

FormEvenHome and awayFiorentinaThe tableAtalantaGoalsEvenHead to headEvenTeam newsFiorentina

Fiorentina: form and key numbers

Fiorentina have won two, drawn two and lost six of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 23. That has them 16th on 8 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Inter Milan away; before that came a 3-1 defeat at home to Como and a 2-1 defeat away at Genoa.

Fiorentina haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. At home they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 4 conceded). A. Atta (abdominal strain), F. Parisi (knee injury) and L. Ranieri (leg injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

FiorentinaLast 6 · 2W 1D 3L

25 OctAInter Milan1-2L
18 OctHComo1-3L
10 OctAGenoa1-2L
20 SeptHNapoli1-1D
15 SeptHPisa3-0W
11 SeptAVenezia4-2W

1.8scored a game1.7conceded a game1.2points a game

At home · last 3LDW

Fiorentina: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Atalanta: form and key numbers

So far in the Serie A, Atalanta have won three, drawn two and lost five of ten, with 16 goals scored and 20 conceded, good for 13th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 2.2 against. Last time out they drew 4-4 with Frosinone; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Ajax and a 3-2 defeat away at AC Milan.

Atalanta haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 7 conceded). F. Kessie (calf injury), G. Raspadori (thigh injury) and G. Scalvini (thigh injury), plus six others, are all unavailable.

AtalantaLast 6 · 2W 1D 3L

25 OctHFrosinone4-4D
22 OctAAjax0-2L
18 OctAAC Milan2-3L
15 OctHPafos3-1W
12 OctHVenezia3-1W
20 SeptAJuventus0-2L

2.0scored a game2.2conceded a game1.2points a game

Away · last 3LLL

Atalanta: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: match analysis

Home and away form points to Fiorentina: Fiorentina have won one of their last three at home, Atalanta none of their last three on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
12	Cagliari	10	4	1	5	-6	13
13	Atalanta	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Lecce	10	3	0	7	-10	9
15	Parma	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Fiorentina	10	2	2	6	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	10	2	2	6	-10	8

We make Fiorentina favourites at 39%, with Atalanta on 34% and the draw at 27%. In truth there's very little in it.

Goals, recent and expected

1.8Scored a game2.0
1.7Conceded a game2.2
1.3Expected here (xG)1.4

Over 1.578%Over 2.555%Over 3.533%Both score58%

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.3 for Fiorentina and 1.4 for Atalanta. Over 2.5 goals is 55% and both teams scoring 58%. Their last meeting, on 22 May 2026, finished 1-1.

Last meetings