Chelsea vs Leeds United prediction

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Arsenal away; before that came a 4-3 win at home to Brighton & Hove Albion and a 2-0 win at home to Luton.

They have scored in each of their last six. At home they've won three of three recently (8 scored, 4 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, three draws and one defeat, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Brighton & Hove Albion; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Brentford and a 1-0 win away at Nottingham Forest.

Leeds United are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of four recently (3 scored, 5 conceded).

Home and away form points to Chelsea: Chelsea have won three of their last three at home, Leeds United one of their last four on the road. Chelsea also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Chelsea favourites at 44%, with Leeds United on 28% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.6 for Chelsea and 1.1 for Leeds United. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 26 Apr 2026, Chelsea won 1-0.