Celta vs Málaga prediction

Celta have won two, drawn six and lost three of their 11 La Liga games so far, scoring 10 and letting in 10. That has them 10th on 12 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Getafe; before that came a 2-0 win away at Ceuta and a goalless draw away at Real Sociedad.

Celta are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 6 conceded).

So far in the La Liga, Málaga have won none, drawn five and lost six of 11, with 8 goals scored and 21 conceded, good for 20th place and 5 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Levante; before that came a 4-0 defeat away at Real Madrid and a 1-1 draw at home to Deportivo La Coruna.

Málaga haven't won in four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to Málaga: Celta have won none of their last three at home, Málaga one of their last three on the road. Seven points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Celta clear favourites at 56%, with Málaga on 18% and the draw at 26%.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.4 for Celta and 1.0 for Málaga. Over 2.5 goals is 43% and both teams scoring 48%. Their last meeting, on 18 Mar 2018, finished 0-0.