Vitória vs FC Porto prediction

So far in the Primeira Liga, Vitória have won two, drawn three and lost five of ten, with 10 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 13th place and 9 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Gil Vicente; before that came a 5-0 win at home to Maritimo and a 1-0 win away at Recreativa de Lamelas.

Vitória are unbeaten in three. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won one of two recently (6 scored, 1 conceded).

FC Porto have won ten, drawn none and lost none of their ten Primeira Liga games so far, scoring 25 and letting in 4. That has them 1st on 30 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Napoli 4-1 at home; before that came a 4-0 win at home to Estoril and a 1-0 win at home to Academico Viseu.

FC Porto are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last four. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Vitória: Vitória have won one of their last two at home, FC Porto one of their last two on the road. 21 points separate the two sides in the table. FC Porto also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make FC Porto clear favourites at 61%, with Vitória on 17% and the draw at 22%.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 0.8 for Vitória and 2.4 for FC Porto. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 18 Jan 2026, Porto won 1-0.