Mineros de Fresnillo vs Acambaro prediction

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Dragones de Oaxaca away; before that came a 4-1 win at home to Calor de San Pedro and a goalless draw at home to Guerreros.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 1 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 3.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Vaqueros Reynosa; before that came a 2-0 win away at Correcaminos UAT II and a 6-0 win away at Halcones Negros.

Acambaro are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (10 scored, 3 conceded).

There isn't much between Mineros de Fresnillo's home form and Acambaro's away form. Acambaro also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Mineros de Fresnillo favourites at 42%, with Acambaro on 34% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Mineros de Fresnillo still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.6 for Mineros de Fresnillo and 1.6 for Acambaro. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 58%.