Foggia vs Barletta prediction

Foggia have won four, drawn three and lost five of their 12 Serie C - Girone C games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 15. That has them 14th on 15 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Casarano; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Cavese and a 3-1 defeat at home to Potenza.

They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the Serie C - Girone C, Barletta have won two, drawn six and lost four of 12, with 13 goals scored and 16 conceded, good for 17th place and 12 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 0.5 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by SS Monopoli; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Scafatese and a 1-0 win at home to AZ Picerno.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Foggia: Foggia have won two of their last three at home, Barletta none of their last two on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Foggia also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Barletta favourites at 39%, with Foggia on 30% and the draw at 30%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Barletta still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.1 for Foggia and 1.5 for Barletta. Over 2.5 goals is 46% and both teams scoring 50%.