Chapecoense vs Mirassol prediction

Chapecoense have won four, drawn nine and lost 19 of their 32 Serie A games so far, scoring 32 and letting in 66. That has them 20th on 21 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Bragantino away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Fluminense and a 1-0 defeat away at Botafogo RJ.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Serie A, Mirassol have won nine, drawn ten and lost 14 of 33, with 37 goals scored and 47 conceded, good for 16th place and 37 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Corinthians away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Sao Paulo and a 2-0 win at home to Internacional.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Chapecoense: Chapecoense have won one of their last two at home, Mirassol none of their last three on the road. 16 points separate the two sides in the table. Mirassol also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Mirassol favourites at 48%, with Chapecoense on 26% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.1 for Chapecoense and 1.5 for Mirassol. Over 2.5 goals is 47% and both teams scoring 50%. Their last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished 1-1.