Aston Villa vs Viking prediction

Aston Villa have won three, drawn none and lost none of their three UEFA Champions League games so far, scoring 12 and letting in 3. That has them 2nd on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, one draw and no defeats, at 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Newcastle United 1-0 away; before that came a 6-0 win at home to Fenerbahce and a 2-2 draw at home to Brentford.

Aston Villa are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of two recently (8 scored, 2 conceded). A. Onana (knee injury), A. Wan-Bissaka (muscle injury) and B. Madjo (off the roster), plus three others, are all unavailable.

So far in the UEFA Champions League, Viking have won none, drawn one and lost two of three, with 5 goals scored and 9 conceded, good for 33rd place and 1 point.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, one draw and no defeats, averaging 3.7 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Fredrikstad 3-2 at home; before that came a 3-3 draw at home to Bayern Munich and a 2-0 win away at Brann.

Viking are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 0 conceded). A. Baertelsen (foot injury), H. Falchener (knee injury) and K. Frimpong (off the roster), plus five others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Viking: Aston Villa have won one of their last two at home, Viking two of their last two on the road. Eight points separate the two sides in the table. Viking also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Aston Villa clear favourites at 78%, with Viking on 10% and the draw at 12%.

On goals, it expects around 3.7 in the game: 2.6 for Aston Villa and 1.1 for Viking. Over 2.5 goals is 71% and both teams scoring 64%.