Palmeiras vs Bahia prediction

Palmeiras have won 20, drawn ten and lost three of their 33 Serie A games so far, scoring 56 and letting in 22. That has them 2nd on 70 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, three draws and one defeat, at 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Gremio; before that came a 3-2 defeat away at LDU de Quito and a 2-0 win at home to Sao Paulo.

Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of two recently (3 scored, 0 conceded).

So far in the Serie A, Bahia have won 14, drawn 11 and lost eight of 33, with 48 goals scored and 42 conceded, good for 6th place and 53 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.3 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Athletico-PR away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Remo and a 3-2 win away at Bragantino.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won two of four recently (9 scored, 7 conceded).

Home and away form points to Palmeiras: Palmeiras have won two of their last two at home, Bahia two of their last four on the road. 17 points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Palmeiras clear favourites at 64%, with Bahia on 14% and the draw at 22%.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 2.0 for Palmeiras and 1.1 for Bahia. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 57%. When they last met, on 5 Apr 2026, Palmeiras won 2-1.