Ho Chi Minh vs Xuan Thien Phu Tho prediction

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Pho Hien 1-0 away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Da Nang and a 2-1 win at home to Binh Dinh.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, two draws and four defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Binh Duong at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Văn Hiến and a 3-2 defeat at home to Pho Hien.

Xuan Thien Phu Tho haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 11 conceded).

Home and away form points to Ho Chi Minh: Ho Chi Minh have won one of their last three at home, Xuan Thien Phu Tho none of their last three on the road. Ho Chi Minh also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Ho Chi Minh favourites at 50%, with Xuan Thien Phu Tho on 24% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.9 for Ho Chi Minh and 0.9 for Xuan Thien Phu Tho. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 50%.