Bedford Town vs Wingate & Finchley prediction

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.3 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Hereford; before that came a 2-1 win at home to King's Lynn Town and a 2-1 defeat away at Spalding United.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 2 conceded).

Their last five in all competitions read three wins, two draws and no defeats, at 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Real Bedford 3-0 away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Hemel Hempstead Town and a 1-1 draw away at Hemel Hempstead Town.

Wingate & Finchley are unbeaten in five. They have scored in each of their last four. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 1 conceded).

There isn't much between Bedford Town's home form and Wingate & Finchley's away form. Wingate & Finchley also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Bedford Town favourites at 38%, with Wingate & Finchley on 36% and the draw at 27%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.3 for Bedford Town and 1.3 for Wingate & Finchley. Over 2.5 goals is 49% and both teams scoring 54%.