Sporting CP vs Arouca prediction

So far in the Primeira Liga, Sporting CP have won six, drawn three and lost one of ten, with 23 goals scored and 11 conceded, good for 3rd place and 21 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, one draw and no defeats, averaging 2.7 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Famalicao; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Galatasaray and a 2-0 win at home to Nacional.

Sporting CP are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won four of four recently (11 scored, 4 conceded).

Arouca have won six, drawn two and lost two of their ten Primeira Liga games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 7. That has them 5th on 20 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Santa Clara at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Estoril and a 2-1 win at home to Maritimo.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (1 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Sporting CP: Sporting CP have won four of their last four at home, Arouca one of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Sporting CP also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Sporting CP clear favourites at 83%, with Arouca on 5% and the draw at 12%.

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 2.7 for Sporting CP and 0.7 for Arouca. Over 2.5 goals is 66% and both teams scoring 47%. When they last met, on 24 Jan 2026, Sp Lisbon won 2-1.