Gosport Borough vs Plymouth Parkway prediction

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Sholing away; before that came a 4-2 win at home to Malvern Town and a 2-1 win away at Frome Town.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 4 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.8 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Poole Town 2-0 at home; before that came a 3-1 win away at Evesham United and a 2-1 win at home to Havant & Wville.

Plymouth Parkway are unbeaten in three. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 5 conceded).

There isn't much between Gosport Borough's home form and Plymouth Parkway's away form. Plymouth Parkway also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Gosport Borough favourites at 44%, with Plymouth Parkway on 30% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Gosport Borough still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 2.0 for Gosport Borough and 1.4 for Plymouth Parkway. Over 2.5 goals is 63% and both teams scoring 64%. When they last met, on 22 Feb 2025, Plymouth Parkway won 2-0.