USA vs Mexico prediction
USA
Sunday, 4 October 2026
3:0Half time 1 : 0Friendlies
Mexico
Match result
Locked at kickoffPre-match prediction
49.2%USA
26.1%Draw
24.6%Mexico
Double chance
USA or draw75%
Either team wins74%
Mexico or draw51%
1.9USA3.0expected goals1.1Mexico
Every market
All predictions
Total goals
LineOverUnder
0.595%5%
1.580%20%
2.558%42%
3.535%65%
4.518%82%
Both teams to score
Yes57%No43%
GG2+
No83%Yes17%
Team total goals
OverUSAMexico
0.585%68%
1.556%31%
2.529%11%
Clean sheet
USA32%Mexico15%
Win to nil
USA27%Mexico11%
Odd or even goals
Odd50%Even50%
Winning margin
Draw23%
WinsUSAMexico
by 123%14%
by 217%6%
by 3+15%3%
Total goal bands
0-1 goals20%2-3 goals45%4-5 goals27%6+ goals8%
USA vs Mexico: preview and prediction
USA welcome Mexico to AT&T Stadium in Arlington on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 02:00. It's the friendly international of the Friendlies. Last time out USA beat Chile 4-2 at home, and Mexico drew 1-1 at home with Peru.
The forecast
49%USA26%Draw25%Mexico
Expected goals1.9-1.1Over 2.5 goals58%Both teams score57%
USA vs Mexico: match analysis
We make USA favourites at 49%, with Mexico on 25% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.
On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.9 for USA and 1.1 for Mexico. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 57%.
Punt-X prediction
Over 2.5 goals58%
Their recent games have averaged 3.8 goals.
Every market at a glance
- ResultUSA win49%
- Double chanceUSA or draw75%
- GoalsOver 2.558%
- Both teams to scoreYes57%
- Clean sheetUSA32%
- CornersUSA 6.0 · Mexico 4.310.3 expected
- Cards4.1 yellows expectedRed 15%
Frequently asked questions
USA vs Mexico