Genoa vs Frosinone prediction

So far in the Serie A, Genoa have won four, drawn one and lost five of ten, with 10 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 11th place and 13 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, one draw and five defeats, averaging 0.3 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 4-1 to Como at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Lazio and a 2-0 defeat at home to Napoli.

Genoa haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in four of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 8 conceded).

Frosinone have won six, drawn two and lost two of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 24 and letting in 14. That has them 6th on 20 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, no draws and one defeat, at 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Venezia 3-2 at home; before that came a 3-0 win away at Fiorentina and a 1-0 defeat at home to Juventus.

Four clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of two recently (4 scored, 0 conceded).

Home and away form points to Frosinone: Genoa have won none of their last three at home, Frosinone two of their last two on the road. Seven points separate the two sides in the table. Frosinone also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Frosinone favourites at 40%, with Genoa on 30% and the draw at 31%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.2 for Genoa and 1.3 for Frosinone. Over 2.5 goals is 44% and both teams scoring 50%. Their last meeting, on 30 Mar 2024, finished 1-1.