Mercadal vs PE Sant Jordi prediction

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 2.2 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Llosetense away; before that came a 5-1 defeat at home to Porreres and a 2-1 win away at Cardassar.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 8 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, three draws and one defeat, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Alcúdia 3-0 at home; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Constància and a 3-0 win away at Arenal.

PE Sant Jordi are unbeaten in four. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 5 conceded).

Home and away form points to PE Sant Jordi: Mercadal have won none of their last two at home, PE Sant Jordi one of their last three on the road. PE Sant Jordi also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Mercadal favourites at 42%, with PE Sant Jordi on 29% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Mercadal still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.3 for Mercadal and 1.3 for PE Sant Jordi. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 53%. When they last met, on 1 Feb 2025, PE Sant Jordi won 2-1.