Aucas vs Independiente del Valle prediction

Aucas have won 15, drawn nine and lost 11 of their 35 Liga Pro games so far, scoring 38 and letting in 38. That has them 3rd on 54 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Universidad Catolica 2-1 away; before that came a 4-0 defeat at home to Barcelona SC and a 1-1 draw at home to LDU de Quito.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 7 conceded).

So far in the Liga Pro, Independiente del Valle have won 26, drawn three and lost five of 34, with 77 goals scored and 35 conceded, good for 1st place and 81 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.5 goals for and 0.3 against. Last time out they beat Delfin SC 2-0 at home; before that came a 2-0 win at home to LDU de Quito and a 3-0 win away at Delfin SC.

Independiente del Valle are unbeaten in four. Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Independiente del Valle: Aucas have won none of their last three at home, Independiente del Valle one of their last two on the road. 27 points separate the two sides in the table. Independiente del Valle also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Independiente del Valle clear favourites at 55%, with Aucas on 19% and the draw at 27%.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 0.8 for Aucas and 1.7 for Independiente del Valle. Over 2.5 goals is 46% and both teams scoring 47%. When they last met, on 10 Oct 2026, Independiente del Valle won 2-1.