Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama prediction

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 1.7 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Santos; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Bragantino and a 1-0 defeat at home to Fluminense.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 2 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 4-1 to Flamengo RJ at home; before that came a 3-2 win at home to Corinthians and a 3-1 defeat at home to Boca Juniors.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (1 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Palmeiras: Palmeiras have won two of their last three at home, Vasco da Gama one of their last two on the road. Palmeiras also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Palmeiras clear favourites at 66%, with Vasco da Gama on 16% and the draw at 19%.

On goals, it expects around 3.5 in the game: 2.5 for Palmeiras and 1.0 for Vasco da Gama. Over 2.5 goals is 66% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 23 Aug 2026, Palmeiras won 4-1.