Crewe vs Wigan prediction

So far in the EFL Trophy, Crewe have won one, drawn one and lost none of two, with 6 goals scored and 3 conceded, good for 3rd place and 4 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they beat AFC Wimbledon 2-1 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Barnet and a 5-1 defeat away at Chesterfield.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. At home they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 4 conceded).

Wigan have won two, drawn none and lost none of their two EFL Trophy games so far, scoring 6 and letting in 4. That has them 1st on 6 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Boreham Wood 3-0 away; before that came a goalless draw at home to Mansfield and a 3-2 win at home to Bromley.

Wigan are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of four recently (5 scored, 7 conceded).

Home and away form points to Crewe: Crewe have won two of their last three at home, Wigan one of their last four on the road. Two points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Crewe favourites at 46%, with Wigan on 30% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.8 for Crewe and 1.4 for Wigan. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 58%. When they last met, on 15 Mar 2022, Wigan won 2-0.