Xerez vs Cadiz prediction

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Marbella 1-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Ciudad de Lucena and a 1-1 draw away at Real Betis II.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won two of four recently (3 scored, 2 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Ceuta 3-1 at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Granada and a 1-0 defeat at home to Sp Gijon.

They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Xerez: Xerez have won two of their last four at home, Cadiz none of their last two on the road.

We make Cadiz favourites at 45%, with Xerez on 32% and the draw at 23%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Cadiz still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.2 for Xerez and 1.8 for Cadiz. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 5 Apr 2008, Xerez won 2-1.