Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction

So far in the Major League Soccer, Minnesota United have won ten, drawn 11 and lost 12 of 33, with 53 goals scored and 57 conceded, good for 12th place and 41 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, three draws and no defeats, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Los Angeles FC 3-1 away; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Sporting Kansas City and a goalless draw away at Houston Dynamo.

Minnesota United are unbeaten in six. At home they've won two of three recently (8 scored, 5 conceded).

San Jose Earthquakes have won 14, drawn ten and lost nine of their 33 Major League Soccer games so far, scoring 56 and letting in 48. That has them 3rd on 52 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, four draws and one defeat, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Real Salt Lake 2-1 at home; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Colorado Rapids and a 3-0 defeat away at FC Dallas.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 5 conceded).

Home and away form points to Minnesota United: Minnesota United have won two of their last three at home, San Jose Earthquakes none of their last three on the road. 11 points separate the two sides in the table. Minnesota United also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Minnesota United clear favourites at 58%, with San Jose Earthquakes on 21% and the draw at 20%.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.9 for Minnesota United and 1.3 for San Jose Earthquakes. Over 2.5 goals is 63% and both teams scoring 57%. When they last met, on 23 Aug 2026, Minnesota United won 5-1.