Amed vs Başakşehir prediction

So far in the Super Lig, Amed have won seven, drawn two and lost one of ten, with 25 goals scored and 11 conceded, good for 2nd place and 23 points.

Over the last four matches it has been two wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Kasimpasa; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Trabzonspor and a 2-0 defeat away at Kocaelispor.

At home they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 1 conceded).

Başakşehir have won four, drawn two and lost four of their ten Super Lig games so far, scoring 17 and letting in 16. That has them 10th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Galatasaray at home; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Kasimpasa and a 2-1 defeat away at Trabzonspor.

Başakşehir haven't won in three. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Amed: Amed have won two of their last two at home, Başakşehir one of their last two on the road. Nine points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Başakşehir favourites at 40%, with Amed on 34% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Başakşehir still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.4 for Amed and 1.5 for Başakşehir. Over 2.5 goals is 56% and both teams scoring 59%.