Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison prediction

So far in the USL League One, Charlotte Independence have won 20, drawn six and lost six of 32, with 74 goals scored and 46 conceded, good for 1st place and 66 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.7 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Naples 5-1 at home; before that came a 4-1 defeat away at Portland Hearts of Pine and a 3-0 win away at Greenville Triumph.

They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (9 scored, 2 conceded).

Forward Madison have won 16, drawn eight and lost eight of their 32 USL League One games so far, scoring 54 and letting in 30. That has them 4th on 56 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Spokane Velocity 2-1 at home; before that came a goalless draw at home to Union Omaha and a 2-0 win at home to Portland Hearts of Pine.

Forward Madison are unbeaten in three. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Charlotte Independence: Charlotte Independence have won two of their last three at home, Forward Madison none of their last two on the road. Ten points separate the two sides in the table. Charlotte Independence also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Charlotte Independence clear favourites at 60%, with Forward Madison on 20% and the draw at 20%.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 2.0 for Charlotte Independence and 1.1 for Forward Madison. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 55%. Their last meeting, on 23 Aug 2026, finished 1-1.