Elche vs Real Madrid prediction

So far in the La Liga, Elche have won two, drawn four and lost five of 11, with 14 goals scored and 18 conceded, good for 17th place and 10 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, three draws and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 2.3 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Athletic Bilbao; before that came a 3-2 defeat at home to Real Sociedad and a 3-2 defeat away at Santander.

Elche haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 8 conceded).

Real Madrid have won nine, drawn none and lost two of their 11 La Liga games so far, scoring 28 and letting in 10. That has them 3rd on 27 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Vallecano 4-1 at home; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Inter Milan and a goalless draw at home to Albacete.

Real Madrid are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice.

17 points separate the two sides in the table. Real Madrid also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Real Madrid clear favourites at 69%, with Elche on 14% and the draw at 17%.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 0.9 for Elche and 2.2 for Real Madrid. Over 2.5 goals is 60% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 14 Mar 2026, Real Madrid won 4-1.