FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction

So far in the UEFA Europa Conference League, FC Lugano have won two, drawn none and lost none of two, with 8 goals scored and 4 conceded, good for 2nd place and 6 points.

Over the last six matches it has been six wins, no draws and no defeats, averaging 3.5 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Basel 2-1 at home; before that came a 3-2 win away at Thun and a 5-2 win away at Getafe.

FC Lugano are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (9 scored, 3 conceded).

Kauno Žalgiris have won none, drawn none and lost two of their two UEFA Europa Conference League games so far, scoring 1 and letting in 8. That has them 36th on 0 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Hegelmann Litauen 4-1 away; before that came a goalless draw at home to FK Zalgiris Vilnius and a 4-1 defeat at home to Brann.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won three of four recently (9 scored, 5 conceded).

Home and away form points to FC Lugano: FC Lugano have won three of their last three at home, Kauno Žalgiris three of their last four on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table. FC Lugano also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make FC Lugano clear favourites at 81%, with Kauno Žalgiris on 7% and the draw at 12%.

On goals, it expects around 3.6 in the game: 2.8 for FC Lugano and 0.8 for Kauno Žalgiris. Over 2.5 goals is 71% and both teams scoring 54%.