FK Liepaja vs Super Nova prediction

So far in the Virsliga, FK Liepaja have won 13, drawn nine and lost 13 of 35, with 49 goals scored and 49 conceded, good for 5th place and 48 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, four draws and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Tukums; before that came a 3-0 win at home to FS Jelgava and a 3-2 defeat at home to Auda.

Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won one of four recently (5 scored, 3 conceded).

Super Nova have won 11, drawn six and lost 18 of their 35 Virsliga games so far, scoring 35 and letting in 53. That has them 6th on 39 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, no draws and five defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Rīgas FS at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Riga and a 4-0 defeat away at Rīgas FS.

Super Nova haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in four of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 7 conceded).

Home and away form points to FK Liepaja: FK Liepaja have won one of their last four at home, Super Nova none of their last three on the road. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. FK Liepaja also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make FK Liepaja clear favourites at 66%, with Super Nova on 14% and the draw at 21%.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.9 for FK Liepaja and 1.1 for Super Nova. Over 2.5 goals is 56% and both teams scoring 53%. When they last met, on 9 Aug 2026, FK Liepaja won 2-1.