AD Ceuta vs Real Sociedad II prediction

So far in the Segunda Division, AD Ceuta have won one, drawn two and lost nine of 12, with 10 goals scored and 27 conceded, good for 22nd place and 5 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, one draw and five defeats, averaging 0.5 goals for and 2.7 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Valladolid; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at Burgos and a 2-0 defeat at home to Celta.

AD Ceuta haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 5 conceded).

Real Sociedad II have won three, drawn two and lost seven of their 12 Segunda Division games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 22. That has them 18th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Mallorca at home; before that came a 5-1 defeat away at Aston Villa U21 and a 3-1 win away at Andorra.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won two of four recently (8 scored, 9 conceded).

Home and away form points to Real Sociedad II: AD Ceuta have won none of their last three at home, Real Sociedad II two of their last four on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table. Real Sociedad II also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make AD Ceuta favourites at 43%, with Real Sociedad II on 29% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, AD Ceuta still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.3 in the game: 1.3 for AD Ceuta and 1.0 for Real Sociedad II. Over 2.5 goals is 41% and both teams scoring 47%. Their last meeting, on 10 Apr 2026, finished 0-0.