Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm prediction

Olancho have won three, drawn seven and lost two of their 12 Liga Nacional games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 12. That has them 5th on 16 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, four draws and one defeat, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Platense FC 4-1 at home; before that came a 3-3 draw at home to Estrella Roja and a 2-1 defeat away at CD Marathon.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. At home they've won one of four recently (9 scored, 6 conceded).

So far in the Liga Nacional, Lobos Upnfm have won four, drawn three and lost five of 12, with 15 goals scored and 16 conceded, good for 7th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they beat Génesis 4-3 at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to CD Olimpia and a 4-0 win away at Atletico Independiente.

Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won two of two recently (6 scored, 0 conceded).

Home and away form points to Lobos Upnfm: Olancho have won one of their last four at home, Lobos Upnfm two of their last two on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Lobos Upnfm also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Olancho favourites at 51%, with Lobos Upnfm on 23% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Olancho still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.7 for Olancho and 1.1 for Lobos Upnfm. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 53%. Their last meeting, on 9 Aug 2026, finished 1-1.