Atlanta United vs New York City prediction

Atlanta United have won nine, drawn six and lost 18 of their 33 Major League Soccer games so far, scoring 43 and letting in 57. That has them 13th on 33 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Portland Timbers 1-0 away; before that came a goalless draw away at DC United and a 3-2 defeat at home to Orlando City.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 6 conceded).

So far in the Major League Soccer, New York City have won nine, drawn 12 and lost 12 of 33, with 48 goals scored and 45 conceded, good for 11th place and 39 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to New York Red Bulls at home; before that came a 2-0 win away at Real Salt Lake and a 2-1 defeat at home to New England Revolution.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to New York City: Atlanta United have won one of their last three at home, New York City one of their last three on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Atlanta United favourites at 42%, with New York City on 29% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Atlanta United still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.3 for Atlanta United and 1.2 for New York City. Over 2.5 goals is 45% and both teams scoring 50%. When they last met, on 13 Jun 2025, New York City won 4-0.