Skopje vs Novaci prediction

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, no draws and six defeats, averaging 0.5 goals for and 2.2 against. Last time out they lost 4-0 to Struga away; before that came a 3-1 defeat at home to Shkendija and a 2-1 defeat at home to Vardar Skopje.

Skopje haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 7 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Pelister at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Gorno Lisiče and a 4-1 defeat at home to Teteks.

Novaci haven't won in three. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (1 scored, 0 conceded).

Home and away form points to Novaci: Skopje have won none of their last three at home, Novaci one of their last two on the road. Novaci also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Skopje favourites at 51%, with Novaci on 29% and the draw at 20%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Skopje still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 1.8 for Skopje and 1.7 for Novaci. Over 2.5 goals is 57% and both teams scoring 50%.