Città di Varese vs Sant'Angelo prediction

Città di Varese have won three, drawn four and lost three of their ten Serie D - Girone D games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 11. That has them 9th on 13 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Varesina away; before that came a goalless draw at home to Solbiatese and a 5-1 win away at Arconatese.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Serie D - Girone D, Sant'Angelo have won three, drawn three and lost four of ten, with 9 goals scored and 12 conceded, good for 11th place and 12 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, no draws and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Lentigione at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Sanremese and a 2-1 win away at Pro Sesto.

They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Sant'Angelo: Città di Varese have won one of their last three at home, Sant'Angelo two of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table.

We make Città di Varese favourites at 44%, with Sant'Angelo on 28% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Città di Varese still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.6 for Città di Varese and 1.1 for Sant'Angelo. Over 2.5 goals is 49% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 6 Nov 2024, Sant'Angelo won 3-0.