PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen prediction

So far in the Eredivisie, PSV Eindhoven have won seven, drawn two and lost two of 11, with 35 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 3rd place and 23 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 3.5 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Twente away; before that came a 4-1 win at home to Sparta Rotterdam and a 1-1 draw at home to Shakhtar Donetsk.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won two of three recently (10 scored, 3 conceded).

Heerenveen have won five, drawn three and lost three of their 11 Eredivisie games so far, scoring 19 and letting in 13. That has them 7th on 18 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, three draws and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 away; before that came a goalless draw at home to Telstar and a 3-2 defeat at home to AZ Alkmaar.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (8 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to PSV Eindhoven: PSV Eindhoven have won two of their last three at home, Heerenveen one of their last three on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table. PSV Eindhoven also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make PSV Eindhoven clear favourites at 79%, with Heerenveen on 8% and the draw at 14%.

On goals, it expects around 3.9 in the game: 2.9 for PSV Eindhoven and 0.9 for Heerenveen. Over 2.5 goals is 74% and both teams scoring 57%. When they last met, on 21 Feb 2026, PSV won 3-1.