Real Madrid III vs Real Valladolid II prediction

So far in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5, Real Madrid III have won one, drawn five and lost three of nine, with 2 goals scored and 6 conceded, good for 15th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 0.3 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they beat Real Ávila 1-0 away; before that came a 2-0 defeat at home to Conquense and a goalless draw away at RSD Alcalá.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank four times. At home they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 3 conceded).

Real Valladolid II have won five, drawn two and lost two of their nine Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 games so far, scoring 22 and letting in 13. That has them 3rd on 17 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 2.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Getafe II 4-3 at home; before that came a 4-4 draw away at Guadalajara and a 2-1 win at home to Real Ávila.

Real Valladolid II are unbeaten in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won none of three recently (6 scored, 7 conceded).

There isn't much between Real Madrid III's home form and Real Valladolid II's away form. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. Real Valladolid II also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Real Valladolid II favourites at 38%, with Real Madrid III on 31% and the draw at 31%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.2 for Real Madrid III and 1.4 for Real Valladolid II. Over 2.5 goals is 45% and both teams scoring 49%.