Bremen vs RB Leipzig prediction

Bremen have won four, drawn three and lost one of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 17 and letting in 14. That has them 5th on 15 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-1 to Freiburg away; before that came a 2-0 defeat at home to Borussia Dortmund and a 1-0 defeat away at Hoffenheim.

Bremen haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 6 conceded).

So far in the Bundesliga, RB Leipzig have won five, drawn none and lost three of eight, with 22 goals scored and 11 conceded, good for 4th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they beat Borussia Monchengladbach 3-0 at home; before that came a 4-1 defeat away at Freiburg and a 2-1 win at home to St Pauli.

They have scored in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 9 conceded).

There isn't much between Bremen's home form and RB Leipzig's away form. The two sides are level on points. RB Leipzig also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make RB Leipzig clear favourites at 55%, with Bremen on 21% and the draw at 25%.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 1.2 for Bremen and 2.1 for RB Leipzig. Over 2.5 goals is 64% and both teams scoring 61%. When they last met, on 4 Apr 2026, RB Leipzig won 2-1.