Corinthians vs Mirassol prediction

Corinthians have won nine, drawn nine and lost 15 of their 33 Serie A games so far, scoring 36 and letting in 42. That has them 17th on 36 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, one draw and five defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Vasco away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Vitoria and a 4-1 defeat away at Palmeiras.

Corinthians haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 5 conceded). A. Carrillo (inactive), Alex Santana (inactive) and Gabriel Paulista (inactive), plus six others, are all unavailable.

So far in the Serie A, Mirassol have won nine, drawn ten and lost 14 of 33, with 37 goals scored and 47 conceded, good for 16th place and 37 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, three draws and one defeat, averaging 1.3 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Sao Paulo; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Internacional and a 1-0 defeat away at Bahia.

Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 2 conceded). Jose Aldo (muscle injury) and Negueba (knee injury) both miss out.

There isn't much between Corinthians's home form and Mirassol's away form. One point separates the two sides in the table. Mirassol also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Corinthians favourites at 49%, with Mirassol on 25% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Corinthians still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.4 for Corinthians and 1.2 for Mirassol. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 4 May 2026, Mirassol won 2-1.