Udinese vs Milan prediction

Udinese have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 23. That has them 19th on 5 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, one draw and five defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Lecce at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Torino and a 1-1 draw away at Pogon Szczecin.

Udinese haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 6 conceded). A. Zanoli (muscle injury), D. Alaba (calf injury) and I. Gueye (ankle injury), plus three others, are all unavailable.

So far in the Serie A, Milan have won six, drawn three and lost one of ten, with 21 goals scored and 12 conceded, good for 5th place and 21 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Bournemouth away; before that came a 3-2 win at home to Atalanta and a 4-0 win away at Salzburg.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 4 conceded). A. Rabiot (calf injury), A. Saelemaekers (ankle injury) and D. Moreira (thigh injury), plus four others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Milan: Udinese have won none of their last three at home, Milan one of their last three on the road. 16 points separate the two sides in the table. Milan also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Milan clear favourites at 53%, with Udinese on 22% and the draw at 25%.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 0.9 for Udinese and 1.8 for Milan. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 11 Apr 2026, Udinese won 3-0.