Wrexham vs Southampton prediction

So far in the Championship, Wrexham have won three, drawn five and lost five of 13, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 18th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 6-0 to West Ham United away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Burnley and a goalless draw away at Swansea.

Wrexham haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Southampton have won eight, drawn three and lost two of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 28 and letting in 13. That has them 5th on 23 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Bristol City 4-1 at home; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Swansea and a 1-1 draw away at Lincoln.

Southampton are unbeaten in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 2 conceded).

There isn't much between Wrexham's home form and Southampton's away form. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. Southampton also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Southampton favourites at 38%, with Wrexham on 36% and the draw at 26%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.5 for Wrexham and 1.3 for Southampton. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 56%. When they last met, on 7 Apr 2026, Southampton won 5-1.