Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction

Celje have won none, drawn one and lost two of their three UEFA Europa League games so far, scoring 2 and letting in 7. That has them 29th on 1 point.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 0.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Maribor; before that came a 3-0 defeat at home to Omonia Nicosia and a 1-0 win at home to Aluminij.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank five times. At home they've won one of three recently (1 scored, 4 conceded). J. Pisek (knee injury) misses out.

So far in the UEFA Europa League, Red Bull Salzburg have won one, drawn one and lost one of three, with 3 goals scored and 6 conceded, good for 21st place and 4 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Altach 3-0 at home; before that came a 4-0 defeat at home to AC Milan and a goalless draw away at Grazer AK.

Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (1 scored, 0 conceded). A. Chase (off the roster), E. Aguilar (muscle injury) and F. Matijasevic (off the roster), plus four others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Red Bull Salzburg: Celje have won one of their last three at home, Red Bull Salzburg one of their last two on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Red Bull Salzburg also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Red Bull Salzburg clear favourites at 65%, with Celje on 16% and the draw at 19%.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.2 for Celje and 1.6 for Red Bull Salzburg. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 47%.