Como vs Manchester United prediction

So far in the UEFA Champions League, Como have won two, drawn none and lost one of three, with 10 goals scored and 5 conceded, good for 9th place and 6 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Fiorentina 3-1 away; before that came a 3-2 defeat away at Feyenoord and a goalless draw at home to Roma.

They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 2 conceded). A. Diao (thigh injury), A. Lahdo (off the roster) and E. Goldaniga (off the roster), plus six others, are all unavailable.

Manchester United have won one, drawn none and lost two of their three UEFA Champions League games so far, scoring 5 and letting in 6. That has them 21st on 3 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, three draws and three defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Leeds United; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Atletico Madrid and a 1-1 draw at home to Tottenham Hotspur.

Manchester United haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 4 conceded). A. Heaven (illness), B. Sesko (leg injury) and K. Mainoo (injury), plus seven others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Como: Como have won two of their last three at home, Manchester United none of their last three on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Como also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Como favourites at 50%, with Manchester United on 31% and the draw at 19%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 1.9 for Como and 1.4 for Manchester United. Over 2.5 goals is 65% and both teams scoring 64%.