Castellón vs AD Ceuta prediction

Castellón have won eight, drawn three and lost one of their 12 Segunda Division games so far, scoring 23 and letting in 5. That has them 1st on 27 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, one draw and no defeats, at 2.2 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Leganes 2-0 away; before that came a 5-0 win at home to Tenerife and a 2-1 win away at Girona.

Castellón are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last five. Four clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 0 conceded).

So far in the Segunda Division, AD Ceuta have won one, drawn two and lost nine of 12, with 10 goals scored and 27 conceded, good for 22nd place and 5 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they beat Sociedad B 3-1 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Valladolid and a 3-1 defeat away at Burgos.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to Castellón: Castellón have won two of their last three at home, AD Ceuta none of their last two on the road. 22 points separate the two sides in the table. Castellón also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Castellón clear favourites at 67%, with AD Ceuta on 13% and the draw at 20%.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 2.1 for Castellón and 0.9 for AD Ceuta. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 53%. Their last meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished 1-1.