Barau vs Shooting Stars prediction

So far in the NPFL, Barau have won three, drawn seven and lost one of 11, with 13 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 7th place and 16 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, five draws and one defeat, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Niger Tornadoes; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Kwara United and a goalless draw away at Rivers United.

Barau are unbeaten in four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won none of two recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Shooting Stars have won four, drawn three and lost four of their 11 NPFL games so far, scoring 16 and letting in 15. That has them 10th on 15 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, three draws and one defeat, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Abia Warriors 4-1 at home; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Ikorodu City and a 3-1 win at home to Ranchers Bees.

Shooting Stars are unbeaten in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Barau: Barau have won none of their last two at home, Shooting Stars none of their last two on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Shooting Stars also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Shooting Stars favourites at 35%, with Barau on 32% and the draw at 34%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.2 in the game: 1.3 for Barau and 0.9 for Shooting Stars. Over 2.5 goals is 38% and both teams scoring 45%.