Schalke vs Mainz prediction
Schalke
Saturday, 17 October 2026
0:1Half time 0 : 1BundesligaMainz
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Team total goals
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Schalke vs Mainz: preview and prediction
Schalke welcome Mainz to VELTINS-Arena in Gelsenkirchen on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 14:30. It's matchday 6 in the Bundesliga. Schalke go into it 17th in the table after eight games, with Mainz 9th, 8 places higher. Last time out Schalke were beaten 2-1 at Freiburg, and Mainz lost 4-3 at home to Bayer Leverkusen.
Schalke: form and key numbers
Schalke have won one, drawn three and lost four of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 4 and letting in 9. That has them 17th on 6 points.
Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Freiburg away; before that came a 1-0 win away at A. Lustenau and a goalless draw at home to Elversberg.
Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 0 conceded). D. Ljubicic (knee injury) and M. Sylla (leg injury) both miss out.
- AFreiburg1-2L
- AA. Lustenau1-0W
- HElversberg0-0D
- AUnion Berlin3-1W
- HBayern Munich0-0D
- AAugsburg0-3L
Schalke: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Mainz: form and key numbers
So far in the Bundesliga, Mainz have won three, drawn one and lost four of eight, with 17 goals scored and 17 conceded, good for 9th place and 10 points.
Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 2.7 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 4-3 to Bayer Leverkusen at home; before that came a 3-0 win away at Waldhof Mannheim and a 4-3 win away at Borussia Monchengladbach.
They have scored in each of their last five. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won three of three recently (12 scored, 3 conceded). D. Kohr (foot injury), O. Ruoppi (knee injury) and R. Zentner (hand injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.
- HBayer Leverkusen3-4L
- AWaldhof Mannheim3-0W
- ABorussia Monchengladbach4-3W
- HEintracht Frankfurt1-3L
- AHamburger SV5-0W
- HPaderborn0-0D
Mainz: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Schalke vs Mainz: match analysis
Home and away form points to Mainz: Schalke have won none of their last two at home, Mainz three of their last three on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Mainz also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Mainz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| ··· | |||||||
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Schalke | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
We make Mainz clear favourites at 56%, with Schalke on 25% and the draw at 19%.
- 0.82.7
- 1.01.7
- 1.12.1
On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.1 for Schalke and 2.1 for Mainz. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 58%. When they last met, on 5 May 2023, Schalke 04 won 3-2.
- 1. FSV Mainz 052-3Schalke 04
- Schalke 041-01. FSV Mainz 05
- Schalke 040-01. FSV Mainz 05
- 1. FSV Mainz 052-2Schalke 04
- 1. FSV Mainz 050-0Schalke 04
- D. LjubicicKnee Injury
- M. SyllaLeg Injury
- D. KohrFoot Injury
- O. RuoppiKnee Injury
- R. ZentnerHand Injury
- SilasBroken shinbone
Their recent games have averaged 3.1 goals.
Every market at a glance
- ResultMainz win56%
- Double chanceEither team wins81%
- GoalsOver 2.562%
- Both teams to scoreYes58%
- Clean sheetMainz34%
- CornersSchalke 4.2 · Mainz 5.810.0 expected
- Cards3.8 yellows expectedRed 15%
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