Alverca vs Braga prediction

Alverca have won three, drawn two and lost five of their ten Primeira Liga games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 14. That has them 10th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, three draws and three defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Santa Clara; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at Sp Lisbon and a 2-2 draw at home to Estrela.

Alverca haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Primeira Liga, Braga have won four, drawn two and lost four of ten, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded, good for 8th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, four draws and one defeat, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they beat Guimaraes 1-0 at home; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Moreirense and a 2-2 draw at home to Estrela.

Braga are unbeaten in five. They have scored in each of their last six. On the road they've won none of three recently (5 scored, 6 conceded).

There isn't much between Alverca's home form and Braga's away form. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Braga also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Braga clear favourites at 56%, with Alverca on 19% and the draw at 25%.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.0 for Alverca and 1.7 for Braga. Over 2.5 goals is 50% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 25 Jan 2026, Sp Braga won 5-0.