Sevilla vs Valencia prediction

So far in the La Liga, Sevilla have won five, drawn two and lost four of 11, with 17 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 6th place and 17 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Espanyol; before that came a 3-1 defeat at home to Atletico Madrid and a 3-1 win away at Athletic Bilbao.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 5 conceded).

Valencia have won two, drawn three and lost six of their 11 La Liga games so far, scoring 8 and letting in 17. That has them 19th on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 5-0 to Barcelona at home; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at Deportivo La Coruna and a 1-0 defeat at home to Real Betis.

Valencia haven't won in four. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won one of two recently (5 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to Valencia: Sevilla have won one of their last three at home, Valencia one of their last two on the road. Eight points separate the two sides in the table. Sevilla also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Sevilla favourites at 42%, with Valencia on 29% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.4 for Sevilla and 1.1 for Valencia. Over 2.5 goals is 47% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 21 Mar 2026, Valencia won 2-0.