Valencia vs Barcelona prediction

Valencia have won two, drawn three and lost six of their 11 La Liga games so far, scoring 8 and letting in 17. That has them 19th on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Deportivo La Coruna away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Real Betis and a goalless draw at home to Celta.

Valencia haven't won in three. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of four recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the La Liga, Barcelona have won ten, drawn none and lost one of 11, with 46 goals scored and 12 conceded, good for 1st place and 30 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 2.7 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Vallecano 5-2 at home; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Athletic Bilbao and a 5-0 win away at Elche.

Barcelona are unbeaten in three. They have scored in each of their last five. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 4 conceded).

There isn't much between Valencia's home form and Barcelona's away form. 21 points separate the two sides in the table. Barcelona also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Barcelona clear favourites at 70%, with Valencia on 13% and the draw at 17%.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.0 for Valencia and 2.2 for Barcelona. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 23 May 2026, Valencia won 3-1.