Newcastle United vs Everton prediction

So far in the Premier League, Newcastle United have won three, drawn two and lost three of eight, with 12 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 12th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, no draws and four defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 2.2 against. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Everton away; before that came a 2-0 win away at Crystal Palace and a 1-0 defeat at home to Aston Villa.

At home they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 2 conceded). E. Jaouen (muscle injury), L. Miley (muscle injury) and M. Fernandez-Pardo (illness), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Everton have won two, drawn four and lost two of their eight Premier League games so far, scoring 8 and letting in 9. That has them 14th on 10 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Newcastle United 3-1 at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Arsenal and a 2-0 defeat at home to Chelsea.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 4 conceded). J. Grealish (illness) misses out.

Home and away form points to Newcastle United: Newcastle United have won one of their last two at home, Everton none of their last two on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Everton also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Newcastle United favourites at 44%, with Everton on 29% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.5 for Newcastle United and 1.3 for Everton. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 29 Oct 2026, Everton won 3-1.