Victoria Hotspurs vs Melita prediction

Victoria Hotspurs have won two, drawn none and lost four of their six Challenge League games so far, scoring 7 and letting in 9. That has them 11th on 6 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, no draws and four defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Tarxien Rainbows away; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Swieqi United and a 1-0 defeat away at Naxxar Lions.

Victoria Hotspurs haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Challenge League, Melita have won three, drawn one and lost two of six, with 9 goals scored and 5 conceded, good for 6th place and 10 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat Sirens 3-0 at home; before that came a 2-1 win away at Zebbug Rangers and a 2-0 defeat at home to Pietà Hotspurs.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Melita: Victoria Hotspurs have won one of their last three at home, Melita two of their last three on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Melita also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Victoria Hotspurs favourites at 38%, with Melita on 38% and the draw at 25%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.3 for Victoria Hotspurs and 1.9 for Melita. Over 2.5 goals is 61% and both teams scoring 59%.