Inter vs Fiorentina prediction, 25 October 2026

Inter

Sunday, 25 October 2026

21Half time 0 : 0Serie A

Fiorentina

Thuram 90+1′
Zielinski (P) 90+7′

Jimenez 65′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

76.7%Inter

15.9%Draw

7.4%Fiorentina

Double chance

Inter or draw93%

Either team wins84%

Fiorentina or draw23%

2.7Inter3.4expected goals0.7Fiorentina

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.597%3%

1.585%15%

2.566%34%

3.546%54%

4.529%71%

Both teams to score

Yes51%No49%

GG2+

No87%Yes13%

Team total goals

OverInterFiorentina

0.592%56%

1.572%19%

2.549%5%

Clean sheet

Inter44%Fiorentina8%

Win to nil

Inter42%Fiorentina3%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw16%

WinsInterFiorentina

by 121%6%

by 220%1%

by 3+36%0%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals15%2-3 goals39%4-5 goals29%6+ goals17%

Match preview · Serie A

Inter vs Fiorentina: preview and prediction

25 Oct 2026 · 11:30San Siro/Giuseppe MeazzaMaurizio Mariani

Inter welcome Fiorentina to San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza in Milan on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 11:30. It's matchday 8 in the Serie A. Inter go into it 2nd in the table after ten games, with Fiorentina 16th, 14 places lower. Last time out Inter beat Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 at home, and Fiorentina lost 3-1 at home to Como.

The forecast

77%Inter16%Draw7%Fiorentina

Expected goals2.7-0.7Over 2.5 goals66%Both teams score51%

FormInterHome and awayInterThe tableInterGoalsInterHead to headInterTeam newsFiorentina

Inter: form and key numbers

Inter have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 26 and letting in 13. That has them 2nd on 25 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 at home; before that came a 3-1 win away at Bologna and a 4-3 defeat at home to Club Brugge.

They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of four recently (9 scored, 4 conceded). B. Pavard (thigh injury), C. Jones (thigh injury) and J. Stones (injury), plus three others, are all unavailable.

InterLast 6 · 4W 1D 1L

21 OctHShakhtar Donetsk1-0W
17 OctABologna3-1W
13 OctHClub Brugge3-4L
10 OctHParma3-0W
3 OctHLumezzane2-0W
19 SeptARoma2-2D

2.3scored a game1.2conceded a game2.2points a game

At home · last 4WLWW

Inter: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Fiorentina: form and key numbers

So far in the Serie A, Fiorentina have won two, drawn two and lost six of ten, with 15 goals scored and 23 conceded, good for 16th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Como at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Genoa and a 1-1 draw at home to Napoli.

Fiorentina haven't won in three. They have scored in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of two recently (5 scored, 4 conceded). A. Atta (abdominal strain), F. Parisi (knee injury) and L. Ranieri (leg injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

FiorentinaLast 6 · 2W 1D 3L

18 OctHComo1-3L
10 OctAGenoa1-2L
20 SeptHNapoli1-1D
15 SeptHPisa3-0W
11 SeptAVenezia4-2W
5 SeptHTorino1-2L

1.8scored a game1.7conceded a game1.2points a game

Away · last 2LW

Fiorentina: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Inter vs Fiorentina: match analysis

Home and away form points to Inter: Inter have won three of their last four at home, Fiorentina one of their last two on the road. 17 points separate the two sides in the table. Inter also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	10	9	1	0	+16	28
2	Inter	10	8	1	1	+13	25
3	AS Roma	10	7	3	0	+18	24
···
15	Parma	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Fiorentina	10	2	2	6	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	10	2	2	6	-10	8

We make Inter clear favourites at 77%, with Fiorentina on 7% and the draw at 16%.

Goals, recent and expected

2.3Scored a game1.8
1.2Conceded a game1.7
2.7Expected here (xG)0.7

Over 1.585%Over 2.566%Over 3.546%Both score51%

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 2.7 for Inter and 0.7 for Fiorentina. Over 2.5 goals is 66% and both teams scoring 51%. Their last meeting, on 22 Mar 2026, finished 1-1.

Last meetings