Plasencia vs Villafranca prediction

So far in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4, Plasencia have won one, drawn five and lost three of nine, with 7 goals scored and 12 conceded, good for 15th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, four draws and one defeat, averaging 0.8 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Llerenense; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Moralo and a goalless draw away at Jerez.

Plasencia are unbeaten in five. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank four times. At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 1 conceded).

Villafranca have won three, drawn one and lost five of their nine Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 games so far, scoring 12 and letting in 14. That has them 12th on 10 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Castuera at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Puebla Calzada and a 2-2 draw at home to CD Zafra.

Villafranca haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 5 conceded).

There isn't much between Plasencia's home form and Villafranca's away form. Two points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Plasencia favourites at 44%, with Villafranca on 28% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.4 for Plasencia and 1.2 for Villafranca. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 51%.