Indonesia vs Thailand prediction, 5 October 2026

Indonesia

Monday, 5 October 2026

22Half time 0 : 0FIFA Asean Cup

Thailand

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

41.3%Indonesia

34.6%Draw

24.1%Thailand

Double chance

Indonesia or draw76%

Either team wins65%

Thailand or draw59%

1.6Indonesia2.7expected goals1.1Thailand

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.593%7%

1.575%25%

2.551%49%

3.529%71%

4.514%86%

Both teams to score

Yes54%No46%

GG2+

No85%Yes15%

Team total goals

OverIndonesiaThailand

0.579%68%

1.547%32%

2.521%11%

Clean sheet

Indonesia32%Thailand21%

Win to nil

Indonesia25%Thailand14%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw25%

WinsIndonesiaThailand

by 123%17%

by 214%8%

by 3+10%3%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals25%2-3 goals46%4-5 goals23%6+ goals6%

Match preview · FIFA Asean Cup

Indonesia vs Thailand: preview and prediction

5 Oct 2026 · 13:00Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium

Indonesia welcome Thailand to Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium in Jakarta on Monday 5 October, with kick-off at 13:00. It's the final of the FIFA Asean Cup. Last time out Indonesia beat Bangladesh 9-2 at home, and Thailand lost 2-1 at home to Philippines. Indonesia haven't lost any of their last three at home.

The forecast

41%Indonesia35%Draw24%Thailand

Expected goals1.6-1.1Over 2.5 goals51%Both teams score54%

FormEvenGoalsIndonesia

Indonesia: form and key numbers

Their last three in all competitions read two wins, one draw and no defeats, at 3.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Bangladesh 9-2 at home; before that came a goalless draw at home to Malaysia and a 2-0 win at home to Singapore.

Indonesia are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (11 scored, 2 conceded).

IndonesiaLast 3 · 2W 1D 0L

1 OctHBangladesh9-2W
28 SeptHMalaysia0-0D
25 SeptHSingapore2-0W

3.7scored a game0.7conceded a game2.3points a game

At home · last 3WDW

Indonesia: last 3 results in all competitions, newest first.

Thailand: form and key numbers

Over the last three matches it has been two wins, no draws and one defeat, averaging 2.3 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Philippines at home; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Vietnam and a 4-0 win away at Pakistan.

Two clean sheets in that spell.

ThailandLast 3 · 2W 0D 1L

2 OctHPhilippines1-2L
29 SeptHVietnam2-0W
26 SeptAPakistan4-0W

2.3scored a game0.7conceded a game2.0points a game

Thailand: last 3 results in all competitions, newest first.

Indonesia vs Thailand: match analysis

Indonesia also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Indonesia favourites at 41%, with Thailand on 24% and the draw at 35%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

Goals, recent and expected

3.7Scored a game2.3
0.7Conceded a game0.7
1.6Expected here (xG)1.1

Over 1.575%Over 2.551%Over 3.529%Both score54%

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.6 for Indonesia and 1.1 for Thailand. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 54%.

Punt-X prediction

Both teams to score54%

Both teams scored in one of Indonesia's last three and one of Thailand's last three.

Every market at a glance

ResultIndonesia win41%
Double chanceIndonesia or draw76%
GoalsOver 2.551%
Both teams to scoreYes54%
Clean sheetIndonesia32%
CornersIndonesia 5.3 · Thailand 4.39.6 expected
Cards4.5 yellows expectedRed 15%

Frequently asked questions

Indonesia vs Thailand

Indonesia vs Thailand prediction